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Russian realtors are starting to show signs of optimism that investors are returning to the real estate market |
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 Russian realtors and developers are starting to show signs of optimism that investors are returning to the real estate market, although analysts caution that actual sales will depend significantly on the discounts being offered.
There is already seeing signs of a revival of the real estate market on the demand side. And it’s not just the interest that’s rising — there are more deals, too. Prices have bottomed out, or very nearly so.
"We’re making a very cautious forecast that the market has reached this bottom that everyone has been waiting for,” said Alex Faganov, head of the analytical department at Vincom. “In terms of demand and deals, we’ve returned to the precrisis levels. Investors have returned to the market, and they only buy when they feel prices have hit their low and are about to begin rising.”
Since the start of the year, there has been a burst of activity on the real estate market, a Moscow real estate firm, has received more calls, but the number of deals has remained the same.
Experts said they had 1.5 times more deals in the last week of January than in all of December, although he declined to give specific figures.
The activity in January was approximately 20 percent higher than in a quiet month in 2008, but the apartments are being sold only at a considerable discount.
But demand had recovered to about half of what it was before the crisis.
The devaluation of the ruble, uncertainty over the U.S. economy and fears over the euro exchange rate are forcing investors to turn their attention toward more conservative investments, including real estate.
This isn’t a question of speculating so much as protecting assets.
The activity makes sense: First of all, the market has been at a standstill for almost four months, and delayed demand is building up. Also, after the long holidays, people have returned to the market and are asking about prices. Whether there will be significant sales will depend on the discounts, though, the prices in dollars could fall another 10 to 15 percent.
According experts, real estate prices hit their maximum in dollar terms on Oct. 6, at $6,122 per square meter. On Monday, the average square meter cost $4,973, from $5,102 last week. |
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posted by Estate
on Sunday, February 08, 2009 @ 15:09:25 MST
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